NC CONGRESSIONAL RATINGS
Note: On September 4, a panel of federal judges ruled that lawmakers do not have time to redraw North Carolina’s congressional districts before this year’s general election, despite having struck the districts down as unconstitutional partisan gerrymanders on August 27. North Carolina will use the unconstitutional map drawn in 2016 for the November 6 races, although new districts must be drawn before 2020 pending lawmakers’ appeal to the United States Supreme Court.
As Election Day approaches, PoliticsNC is releasing ratings and analyses for each of our state’s congressional and legislative elections. First up: races for North Carolina’s thirteen seats in the United States House of Representatives. Although North Carolina is one of only three states without a gubernatorial or senatorial election in 2018, our congressional elections have garnered considerable national attention – competitive campaigns have emerged in districts once thought of as safe for their incumbents, threatening the gerrymander that installed ten Republicans and three Democrats in a fifty-fifty state. North Carolina may well end up seeing the most seats flipped of any state in the South, a possibility unthinkable less than two years ago.
The map below displays our ratings for each of North Carolina’s thirteen congressional elections in 2018, along with a district-by-district analysis of the candidates and their campaigns.
For a brief summary, hover over the map. For a detailed analysis, click on each district below.
NC County Profiles
Alamance
Alexander
Alleghany
Anson
Ashe
Avery
Beaufort
Bertie
Bladen
Brunswick
Buncombe
Burke
Cabarrus
Caldwell
Camden
Carteret
Caswell
Catawba
Chatham
Cherokee
Chowan
Clay
Cleveland
Columbus
Craven
Cumberland
Currituck
Dare
Davidson
Davie
Duplin
Durham
Edgecombe
Forsyth
Franklin
Gaston
Gates
Graham
Granville
Greene
Guilford
Halifax
Harnett
Haywood
Henderson
Hertford
Hoke
Hyde
Iredell
Jackson
Johnston
Jones
Lee
Lenoir
Lincoln
McDowell
Macon
Madison
Martin
Mecklenburg
Mitchell
Montgomery
Moore
Nash
New Hanover
Northampton
Onslow
Orange
Pamlico
Pasquotank
Pender
Perquimans
Person
Pitt
Polk
Randolph
Richmond
Robeson
Rockingham
Rowan
Rutherford
Sampson
Scotland
Stanly
Stokes
Surry
Swain
Transylvania
Tyrrell
Union
Vance
Wake
Warren
Washington
Watauga
Wayne
Wilkes
Wilson
Yadkin
Yancey
Data generously provided by:
Looking at your figures for the eighth, “Voter Registration by Party: 35% Democratic, 34% Republican, 30% Unaffiliated” raise questions. Will the Trump effect adversely affect Hudson’s chances of reelection? He and his Republican comrades in congress have pulled the shades down, refused to exercise any oversight. This must bother unaffiliated voters and Republicans. In addition, motivate these voters to go to the polls to replace them.