Another sign of an enthusiasm gap
Dr. Michael Bitzer’s analysis of absentee ballot requests offers more evidence that something is different this year than in past years. Democrats and unaffiliated voters are far outpacing Republicans in requests. It’s another indication of Democratic enthusiasm and...
Anita Earls is up by 27
Civitas released a poll this week that shows Democrats favored heading into the midterm elections. The poll was done before the hurricane hit and before the Kavanaugh hearings. I suspect the political environment has changed since then. However, it’s probably gotten...
The Face of the Party of Trump
Brett Kavanaugh and Lindsey Graham are now the face of the Republican Party, two angry white men railing against Democrats and left-wing groups for making false accusations against the GOP Supreme Court nominee. Their faces contorted in viscous rage, they spewed venom...
Manning moves up
The race for NC-13 is heating up. Last week, the DCCC released a poll showing Kathy Manning up four over freshman incumbent Republican Ted Budd. Yesterday, the Cook Political Report upgraded the race from Lean Republican to tossup. PoliticsNC also calls the race a...
Late season trade: Kavanaugh for women voters
Republicans made a late season trade. They’ll take Kavanaugh and give Democrats white women. It may work out on the court but it won’t work out for their party in the long run. The LA Times has poll that shows the generic Congressional ballot giving Democrats a 14...
The power to profit
(Full disclosure: I'm working with Moore's opponent, David Brinkley. The views here are mine and do not represent my clients.) For House Speaker Tim Moore, politics has been a lucrative business. Since he got elected to the legislature, his financial outlook has...
More musings on Kavanaugh, truth and elections
The Kavanaugh nomination has brought out the worst in politics and people. Both sides so quickly went to their respective corners that neither really wants the truth. Progressives are ready to accept Christine Blasey Ford’s allegations at face value. Conservatives are...
Allegations aside, Kavanaugh is more of a hack than jurist
Right now, I hate our politics. The dysfunctional appointment of Supreme Court justices brings out the worst in our politicians. The Kavanaugh nomination and response to accusations of sexual assault illustrate how quickly both sides fall into battle mode with little...
The politics of hurricanes
Hurricanes affect politics in North Carolina. Two years ago, Matthew hit North Carolina the second week of October and left devastating flooding in its wake. People throughout the southeastern part of the state were left homeless or with severe storm damage. In those...
Bubbles of disappointment
A recent poll by the Republican National Committee shows that Trump’s attack on the media and his assertion that a “red wave” is coming in November leaves much of the GOP dismissing the possibility that Democrats will take back the House. They think the hype around...








