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PPP: Burr Has Early Advantage in 2016 Race

PPP: Burr Has Early Advantage in 2016 Race

by John Wynne | Dec 11, 2014 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 4 comments

This post continues the analysis from yesterday of PPP’s latest poll. This time, we’re going to be concentrating on the U.S. Senate race. Richard Burr is the Republican incumbent and plans to seek reelection. He has yet to draw a Democratic opponent. Burr...
PPP: Cooper’s Image Takes a Hit

PPP: Cooper’s Image Takes a Hit

by John Wynne | Dec 10, 2014 | 2016 Elections, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 7 comments

PPP is out with a new poll looking at the reelection prospects for both Burr and McCrory. The results are fairly unsurprising, though notably McCrory looks to be in better shape than Burr, which defies the conventional wisdom. At this point, both McCrory and Burr have...
Polls: McCrory Either in Good Shape, or Highly Vulnerable

Polls: McCrory Either in Good Shape, or Highly Vulnerable

by John Wynne | Nov 18, 2014 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGov, Poll Analysis, Polling

The latest survey from High Point University was released yesterday. In their last poll of the Senate race, the university found Hagan and Tillis tied at 44%, which was more accurate than a lot of other public polling firms, so I’d put stock in whatever they...
The Polls Weren’t Wrong. The Pundits Were.

The Polls Weren’t Wrong. The Pundits Were.

by John Wynne | Nov 11, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, US Senate | 4 comments

Those who cover politics are scrambling to figure out why the polls were so off this year. Nobody saw it coming, they say. Maybe polling is no longer a reliable practice – we might be able to get the numbers in the right ballpark, but until Election Day...
Neighbors Engaging in Old-Fashioned Mountain Feud in HD-115

Neighbors Engaging in Old-Fashioned Mountain Feud in HD-115

by John Wynne | Oct 30, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling

House District 115: Rep. Nathan Ramsey (R) vs. John Ager (D) There are two competitive House seats based in Buncombe County this cycle. The first is the high-profile contest between Rep. Tim Moffitt (R) and Brian Turner (D). The other has been much more low-key but...
PPP: Hagan +3

PPP: Hagan +3

by John Wynne | Oct 20, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGov, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 7 comments

On the heels of a new poll from Gravis showing Tillis up 5 points, and reports generally of a surge in Tillis’s support, Tom Jensen of PPP is out with a survey showing Hagan still up 3, meaning the race is more or less the same as it was a month ago, and that...
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