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PPP Poll Shows Tillis Surging

PPP Poll Shows Tillis Surging

by John Wynne | Apr 29, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling

Another post on the Republican primary for the North Carolina Senate race.  PPP is out with their new poll on the Republican field. Let’s take a look at it. Republican field Numbers in parentheses indicates change in support from last poll Tillis – 46%...
Inevitable? Not So Fast

Inevitable? Not So Fast

by John Wynne | Apr 28, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Campaigns, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NCGOP, Polling, US Senate

A couple months ago, I thought people were overestimating Tillis’s chance of avoiding a runoff.  While everyone else was arguing that he was the ‘inevitable’ nominee, I pointed out there was a lot of discontent on the Right and that a Tea Party...
SurveyUSA/Civitas: Tillis Looking Good

SurveyUSA/Civitas: Tillis Looking Good

by John Wynne | Apr 24, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NCGOP, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate

SurveyUSA conducted a new poll on the NC-Sen Republican primary on behalf of the Civitas Institute. The poll is good news for Thom Tillis, who needs to clear the 40% hurdle to avoid a runoff. Right now, he’s at 39% with a fifth of the electorate still undecided....
PPP: Race Still Looks Headed for Runoff

PPP: Race Still Looks Headed for Runoff

by John Wynne | Apr 10, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NCGOP, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 1 comment

PPP released their monthly look at the North Carolina Senate race two days ago. The poll isn’t so good for Speaker Thom Tillis. Not only does Tillis lead Brannon by a narrower margin than in other polls, he also performs the worst against Senator Hagan, quashing...
Poll Alert!  (TWC/SurveyUSA)

Poll Alert! (TWC/SurveyUSA)

by John Wynne | Apr 2, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate

SurveyUSA has been busy lately; this is the third poll they’ve conducted on the North Carolina Senate race in as many weeks.  The firm previously conducted surveys on behalf of Civitas and WRAL.  Because this latest poll appears to use the same voter screen as...
Shades of 2010

Shades of 2010

by Thomas Mills | Mar 27, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, NC Politics, Polling, US Senate | 2 comments

In the spring of 2010, Elaine Marshall was a sitting Secretary of State locked in a primary with a former state senator, a prominent Obama fundraiser and three other little known candidates. Marshall had a solid advantage in name recognition but the race wasn’t...
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