by John Wynne | May 30, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Campaigns, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
Civitas is out with a new poll, and it shows Speaker of the House Thom Tillis with a slight lead over Democratic incumbent senator Kay Hagan. General election Tillis – 39% Hagan – 36% Haugh – 8% This is the second poll which finds the Libertarian...
by John Wynne | May 16, 2014 | Campaigns, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Polling, US Senate |
There are only three people who could conceivably win our state’s U.S. Senate election this November. There’s the incumbent Democrat, Kay Hagan. Her Republican challenger, Speaker Thom Tillis. And then there’s Sean Haugh, the Libertarian. Haugh, 53,...
by John Wynne | May 13, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, US Senate |
In the wake of Keith Crisco’s untimely death, the world of North Carolina politics needs some levity. Fortunately, PPP has seen fit to provide it in their latest poll on the Senate race, the first since the primary. The poll is garbage. Notably, it has Sean...
by John Wynne | May 9, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, Poll Analysis, US Senate |
Well, the first poll since the primary has come out, and it’s … pretty weird. The topline numbers are what you’d expect (Tillis leads by 1 point, obviously within the margin of error) but dig deeper and you find some things that question the validity...
by John Wynne | May 1, 2014 | Campaigns, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NCGOP, Polling, US House |
The Republican primary in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district is getting really nasty. Both Berger and VonCannon attacking each other on the airwaves. But the real question is not who is going to place first on May 6th (that person is Berger Jr.), but...
by Thomas Mills | May 1, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, National Politics, Polling |
I have a bias about campaigns. I don’t believe that people usually vote around issues. I think they vote on an emotional response to things that are less tangible. Rarely does a candidate’s position on a single issue or even group of issues persuade the electorate....
