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Democrats Have Head Start in GOP-Leaning SD-15

Democrats Have Head Start in GOP-Leaning SD-15

by John Wynne | Aug 11, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGOP, Polling

Senate District 15 – Johnny Mac Alexander (R) vs. Tom Bradshaw (D) This has been a race to watch ever since the present occupant of this seat, Neal Hunt, announced that he was going to retire. Since then, this race has seen many twists and turns. Republicans had...
Rasmussen Reports: Tillis Leads

Rasmussen Reports: Tillis Leads

by John Wynne | Aug 8, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 6 comments

The new Rasmussen poll released yesterday shows Tillis ahead by 5 points, 45%-40%. Haugh was not named, but 6% of voters said they would support another candidate, so that seems valid. This is Rasmussen’s first poll since May, which showed Tillis up by 1. As...
New Poll Alert! (Civitas)

New Poll Alert! (Civitas)

by John Wynne | Aug 5, 2014 | Features, National Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 5 comments

There’s good news and bad news for Thom Tillis in the latest poll from Civitas. The bad news? Tillis still trails Hagan, 41-39. The good news? In a head-to-head, without Sean Haugh, the result is the reverse, and Tillis is up by 2 points, 45-43. Three-way Change...
Gravis Marketing: Hagan Leads

Gravis Marketing: Hagan Leads

by John Wynne | Jul 31, 2014 | Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate

Another poll, another Hagan lead. This time from Gravis Marketing. This is the conservative-leaning pollster’s first foray into the North Carolina Senate race. Even though most people think Gravis has a Republican bent, all the latest polls from them I looked at...
A Good Poll for Tillis

A Good Poll for Tillis

by John Wynne | Jul 28, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 2 comments

Over the weekend, North Carolina Republicans hoping to unseat Kay Hagan found, for the first time in a long time, some good news: a new poll showing Thom Tillis in the lead. It’s only a 1-point lead, statistically a tie, but it’s the first poll in two...
A Look at Those Undecideds

A Look at Those Undecideds

by John Wynne | Jul 23, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 3 comments

Undecided voters in the U.S. Senate race. For the politically astute, such as those who read this blog, the concept is hard to understand. Yet they exist. Some of them know a little bit about the candidates and are conflicted, some of them don’t know anything...
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