by Thomas Mills | Sep 15, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, Poll Analysis, US Senate
As the political environment starts to solidify post-Labor Day, the news is not good for Thom Tillis. Two more polls show him trailing Kay Hagan by significant margins. That’s five polls released in the last week that show Hagan breaking away. The Elon University poll...
by John Wynne | Sep 12, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
The latest poll from Rasmussen Reports is not good, to say the least, for Thom Tillis. When I saw the results, I was sure the numbers had been switched. But nope: Kay Hagan leads Thom Tillis by 6%. It’s an 11-point swing from their last poll, conducted last...
by Thomas Mills | Sep 11, 2014 | Editor's Blog, Poll Analysis
A poll by the conservative Civitas Institute shows trouble ahead for Republicans. The poll only tested voters who are registered unaffiliated, but within that group are the bulk of the swing voters in North Carolina. It’s just one poll but the responses are...
by John Wynne | Sep 10, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Congressional Races, Features, NC House Races, NC Senate Races, NCGA, Polling, US Senate
Some of the hottest political races of this cycle are happening in Wake County. Wake just passed 1,000,000 residents, so it’s no surprise that this county is going to be seeing a lot of action, both now and in the future. Both parties are going to be heavily...
by John Wynne | Sep 9, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Debates, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies (POS) is the official pollster for the Tillis campaign. Yesterday, he released an internal poll which showed the two candidates tied with 43% each and Haugh taking 8% of the vote (the YouGov poll from Sunday showed Haugh taking...
by John Wynne | Sep 8, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
The latest Internet-based poll from YouGov shows Thom Tillis leading Kay Hagan by a point in the U.S. Senate race. It confirms what we already know: the race is extremely tight and in all likelihood we will not know the winner until very late on Election Night,...