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The Hunt for a Red October

The Hunt for a Red October

by John Wynne | Oct 3, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 3 comments

Some thoughts on the Senate race to close out the week: The RCP average right now in the three-way race: 43.8% Hagan, 40.0% Tillis, 5.6% Haugh. If Tillis wins two-thirds of undecided voters, and Haugh keeps his 5.6%, then this becomes a tie race. If Haugh takes only...
Poll Alert! (Civitas-National Research)

Poll Alert! (Civitas-National Research)

by John Wynne | Oct 1, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 3 comments

The Civitas Institute released a new poll yesterday. A couple weeks ago, SurveyUSA conducted a poll for them which showed Hagan up 3 points. This time, Civitas employed the services of National Research, their traditional pollster. In this poll, Hagan leads by 5...
Senate Race Still Too Close for Comfort

Senate Race Still Too Close for Comfort

by John Wynne | Sep 29, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate

It’s a bit early for Democrats to be popping the champagne. Tillis is still in the game and the U.S. Senate race here in North Carolina is far from being won. Yesterday, a CNN poll showed Hagan leading by 3 points, within the margin of error. Hagan is far below...
2016 Poll: Hillary Competitive in NC

2016 Poll: Hillary Competitive in NC

by John Wynne | Sep 18, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGov, Poll Analysis, Polling | 4 comments

There was a lot of stuff in the PPP release from Tuesday which I thought deserved another post. Today we’re going to be looking at McCrory’s approval rating and his 2016 reelection race against Roy Cooper, the judicial races of this year (hint: lots of...
PPP: Hagan Leads by 4

PPP: Hagan Leads by 4

by John Wynne | Sep 16, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate

In line with other polls, PPP says that Hagan has a good-sized lead in the U.S. Senate race. The results are the same the firm showed last month. While other firms have showed movement in Hagan’s direction, PPP sees the race as steady. Jensen says Hagan is doing...
Still Too Early for the GOP to Hit the Panic Button

Still Too Early for the GOP to Hit the Panic Button

by John Wynne | Sep 15, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 10 comments

Rasmussen: Hagan leads by 6. Civitas: Hagan up 3. Elon: Hagan up 4. American Insights, which has been called “the first homegrown polling firm with a Republican slant”: Hagan up 10. What’s going on? Well, Hagan leads. That much is assured. The last...
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