by John Wynne | Nov 18, 2014 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGov, Poll Analysis, Polling
The latest survey from High Point University was released yesterday. In their last poll of the Senate race, the university found Hagan and Tillis tied at 44%, which was more accurate than a lot of other public polling firms, so I’d put stock in whatever they...
by John Wynne | Nov 11, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, US Senate |
Those who cover politics are scrambling to figure out why the polls were so off this year. Nobody saw it coming, they say. Maybe polling is no longer a reliable practice – we might be able to get the numbers in the right ballpark, but until Election Day...
by John Wynne | Nov 3, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, Polling |
House District 116: Rep. Tim Moffitt (R) vs. Brian Turner (D) The 116th District features one of the costliest and nastiest contests of the entire cycle. The district itself is based in rural-suburban Western Buncombe County, just outside Asheville. The current...
by John Wynne | Oct 30, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling
House District 115: Rep. Nathan Ramsey (R) vs. John Ager (D) There are two competitive House seats based in Buncombe County this cycle. The first is the high-profile contest between Rep. Tim Moffitt (R) and Brian Turner (D). The other has been much more low-key but...
by Thomas Mills | Oct 21, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, Polling, US Senate |
Two weeks ago, Kay Hagan had a bad week. The polls reflected it. After maintaining a small but consistent lead for about six weeks, Tillis seemed to be closing the gap. It appears now, though, that the momentum was a blip instead of a shift. Despite ISIS and Ebola,...
by John Wynne | Oct 20, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGov, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
On the heels of a new poll from Gravis showing Tillis up 5 points, and reports generally of a surge in Tillis’s support, Tom Jensen of PPP is out with a survey showing Hagan still up 3, meaning the race is more or less the same as it was a month ago, and that...
