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A good ad, but a missed opportunity

A good ad, but a missed opportunity

by Thomas Mills | Jul 30, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Ads, Editor's Blog, US Senate | 2 comments

As a consultant, I know how frustrating armchair quarterbacks can be. As a blogger, I love to armchair quarterback. And Kay Hagan has a new ad out, so here goes.  Hagan’s new spot highlights her credentials as the most moderate Senator. The ad has Hagan to the camera...
The Legislature: Doing the Job the Attorney General Won’t Do

The Legislature: Doing the Job the Attorney General Won’t Do

by John Wynne | Jul 29, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Civil Rights, Features, Gay Marriage, US Senate | 5 comments

Unless you just crawled out from under a rock, you’re well aware that the 4th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that a ban on gay marriage violates the U.S. Constitution, and that this will doubtless have an effect on North Carolina’s Amendment One. The...
A Good Poll for Tillis

A Good Poll for Tillis

by John Wynne | Jul 28, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 2 comments

Over the weekend, North Carolina Republicans hoping to unseat Kay Hagan found, for the first time in a long time, some good news: a new poll showing Thom Tillis in the lead. It’s only a 1-point lead, statistically a tie, but it’s the first poll in two...
A Look at Those Undecideds

A Look at Those Undecideds

by John Wynne | Jul 23, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 3 comments

Undecided voters in the U.S. Senate race. For the politically astute, such as those who read this blog, the concept is hard to understand. Yet they exist. Some of them know a little bit about the candidates and are conflicted, some of them don’t know anything...
The only wave anybody will catch this year…

The only wave anybody will catch this year…

by Thomas Mills | Jul 23, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, National Politics, US Senate | 2 comments

Apparently, there’s still talk about a Republican wave in November. At least enough for Nate Cohn of the The New York Times to speculate that there might not be one. I’ve never believed that this is a wave year. There’s been a bunch of hype about historical voting...
PPP: As Legislature Quarrels, Hagan Expands Lead

PPP: As Legislature Quarrels, Hagan Expands Lead

by John Wynne | Jul 22, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 3 comments

The plan this year was for the General Assembly to convene, give teachers raises, make some tweaks to the budget, and then get out so they can campaign. So far, it hasn’t worked out that way. The legislature is still in session, and it doesn’t look like...
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