by Thomas Mills | Sep 17, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, US Senate |
Just a couple of weeks ago, all of the senate prognosticators indicated an almost certain GOP takeover. Nate Silver said Republicans had a 64% chance of winning the senate. Just a few months ago, the Washington Post’s Election Lab had the GOP chances at 80%. And as...
by John Wynne | Sep 16, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate
In line with other polls, PPP says that Hagan has a good-sized lead in the U.S. Senate race. The results are the same the firm showed last month. While other firms have showed movement in Hagan’s direction, PPP sees the race as steady. Jensen says Hagan is doing...
by Thomas Mills | Sep 16, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, US Senate
Thom Tillis has seen a rash of bad polls over the past week. As John Wynne noted, it’s still too early for Republicans to hit the panic button. There’s still time for the mood to change and in 2004, Richard Burr was trailing Erskine Bowles by about the same margins...
by John Wynne | Sep 15, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
Rasmussen: Hagan leads by 6. Civitas: Hagan up 3. Elon: Hagan up 4. American Insights, which has been called “the first homegrown polling firm with a Republican slant”: Hagan up 10. What’s going on? Well, Hagan leads. That much is assured. The last...
by Thomas Mills | Sep 15, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, Poll Analysis, US Senate
As the political environment starts to solidify post-Labor Day, the news is not good for Thom Tillis. Two more polls show him trailing Kay Hagan by significant margins. That’s five polls released in the last week that show Hagan breaking away. The Elon University poll...
by John Wynne | Sep 12, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
The latest poll from Rasmussen Reports is not good, to say the least, for Thom Tillis. When I saw the results, I was sure the numbers had been switched. But nope: Kay Hagan leads Thom Tillis by 6%. It’s an 11-point swing from their last poll, conducted last...
