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Just plain desperate

Just plain desperate

by Matt Phillippi | Oct 22, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Features, US Senate | 15 comments

Thom Tillis is in trouble and his backers know it.  Despite massive amounts of money thrown at his candidacy from outside support groups he still hasn’t been able to break Kay Hagan’s consistent three point lead.   With the possibility of a Republican takeover of the...
Walmart Moms and the Koch brothers

Walmart Moms and the Koch brothers

by Thomas Mills | Oct 22, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, US Senate | 5 comments

After almost $100 million in ads running for a solid year, recent polls show about 5% of North Carolina voters are still undecided. Who the hell are these people? Well, on Monday night I got a glimpse of some. Watching a Walmart Moms focus group gave insight into how...
Return to normal

Return to normal

by Thomas Mills | Oct 21, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, Polling, US Senate | 4 comments

Two weeks ago, Kay Hagan had a bad week. The polls reflected it. After maintaining a small but consistent lead for about six weeks, Tillis seemed to be closing the gap. It appears now, though, that the momentum was a blip instead of a shift. Despite ISIS and Ebola,...
PPP: Hagan +3

PPP: Hagan +3

by John Wynne | Oct 20, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGov, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 7 comments

On the heels of a new poll from Gravis showing Tillis up 5 points, and reports generally of a surge in Tillis’s support, Tom Jensen of PPP is out with a survey showing Hagan still up 3, meaning the race is more or less the same as it was a month ago, and that...
Disjointed attacks

Disjointed attacks

by Thomas Mills | Oct 20, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, US Senate | 3 comments

This week, the attack on Kay Hagan is that her husband’s company benefitted from stimulus funds. It’s not much of a hit. The New & Observer and WRAL both looked into the allegations and found that Hagan did nothing wrong or unethical. In fact, the GOP controlled...
Evidence of the Democratic ground game

Evidence of the Democratic ground game

by Thomas Mills | Oct 17, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, NC Politics, US Senate

Dr. Michael Bitzer has been providing outstanding analysis of North Carolina’s mail-in absentee ballots. The results give the best hint at each campaign’s ground organization. If the race remains as close as it is today, those field operations might determine the...
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