by John Wynne | Dec 10, 2014 | 2016 Elections, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
PPP is out with a new poll looking at the reelection prospects for both Burr and McCrory. The results are fairly unsurprising, though notably McCrory looks to be in better shape than Burr, which defies the conventional wisdom. At this point, both McCrory and Burr have...
by John Wynne | Dec 4, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Demographic Trends, Features, NC Politics, US Senate |
The Wake County Board of Elections now has results from November 4th broken down by precinct. These numbers contain early voting totals. With early vote numbers now in, we can finally examine what happened in Wake. Democrats did very, very well there last month. Hagan...
by John Wynne | Dec 3, 2014 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, US Senate |
Let’s jump right into it. Here’s what we know: 1. Burr is probably running again. Burr is putting out the word that he’s running again. He was probably planning to retire but then changed his mind after the GOP took back the Senate. His friend John...
by John Wynne | Nov 24, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, US Senate |
People seemed to enjoy the “visualized” post, so here’s one more. This is a map comparing the performance of Hagan 2014 vs. Marshall 2010. As an incumbent with the full support of the national party and tens of millions of dollars on her side, Hagan...
by John Wynne | Nov 20, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, US Senate |
Below is a map of the change in margin between Obama/Romney 2012 and Hagan/Tillis 2014. The counties in red are where Tillis improved on Romney’s performance. Because Romney won NC, Tillis had a little more room for error than Hagan, who had to make up for...
by John Wynne | Nov 19, 2014 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP, US Senate |
Richard Burr says he’s running again. Of course, lots of Representatives and Senators say they’re planning to run again and don’t end up doing so. Burr always has the option to change his mind. His fundraising hasn’t been stellar. With the GOP...
