by Thomas Mills | Sep 19, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, US House |
Mark Walker is not ready for prime time. His victory over Phil Berger, Jr. in the primary runoff was clearly a rejection of the establishment, not an endorsement of him. And the more we learn, the more disturbed we should be. The latest disclosure is Walker’s...
by John Wynne | Sep 18, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGov, Poll Analysis, Polling |
There was a lot of stuff in the PPP release from Tuesday which I thought deserved another post. Today we’re going to be looking at McCrory’s approval rating and his 2016 reelection race against Roy Cooper, the judicial races of this year (hint: lots of...
by Thomas Mills | Sep 18, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, Education, US Senate |
Seems Thom Tillis and the GOP are upset about the Democratic ads claiming Republicans cut $500 million from education. They claim the ads are false and cite several fact checkers that have cast doubt about the numbers. Yesterday, John Hood of the John Locke Foundation...
by John Wynne | Sep 17, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Democrats, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP, US Senate |
I’ve speculated in the past that Richard Burr is very likely to retire in 2016. Not only are there rumors that Burr is tired of life in the Senate, several of his friends are leaving also and it might be getting kind of lonely up there. Burr’s very anemic...
by Thomas Mills | Sep 17, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, US Senate |
Just a couple of weeks ago, all of the senate prognosticators indicated an almost certain GOP takeover. Nate Silver said Republicans had a 64% chance of winning the senate. Just a few months ago, the Washington Post’s Election Lab had the GOP chances at 80%. And as...
by John Wynne | Sep 16, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate
In line with other polls, PPP says that Hagan has a good-sized lead in the U.S. Senate race. The results are the same the firm showed last month. While other firms have showed movement in Hagan’s direction, PPP sees the race as steady. Jensen says Hagan is doing...