Civitas Polls, and a Democratic Wave?

by John Wynne | Oct 6, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling | 5 comments

Could there be a Democratic wave in NC this year? Possibly. The Civitas polls of the legislative races certainly support such a theory. Rep. Mike Stone and Rep. Michele Presnell are both down 12 points in districts that Mitt Romney carried by double digits. In the...

Blue Dogs Control Outcome in HD-46

by John Wynne | Oct 2, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP | 1 comment

House District 46: Rep. Ken Waddell (D) vs. Brenden Jones (R) Of the ‘Blue Dog’ districts in NC, this one is probably the Blue Doggiest. It consists of all of Columbus County, the Republican-friendly eastern slice of Robeson County, and a small southwest...

HD-40: Avila’s Advantage

by John Wynne | Sep 26, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP | 2 comments

North Carolina House District 40: Rep. Marilyn Avila (R) vs. Former Morrisville Town Councilwoman Margaret Broadwell (D) The state’s 40th House District takes in much of northwestern Wake County, extending from the Granville County line down to the town of...

HD-41: Murry-Adcock Contest Among State’s Most Competitive

by John Wynne | Sep 24, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA

House District 41: Rep. Tom Murry (R) vs. Cary Town Councilwoman Gale Adcock (D) Independents are always key to winning elections in North Carolina, but that’s particularly true for House District 41, a strip of suburban Wake County on the Chatham County border...

HD-36: Rep. Dollar Probably Safe

by John Wynne | Sep 22, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP | 5 comments

House District 36 – Rep. Nelson Dollar (R) vs. Lisa Baker (D) House District 36 includes part of Cary, the community of Swift Creek, parts of Fuquay-Varina, and parts of unincorporated Southern Wake County. It is currently represented by Nelson Dollar, who was...

HD-35: Malone in the Driver’s Seat

by John Wynne | Sep 11, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP

House District 35: Rep. Chris Malone (R) vs. Brian Mountcastle (D) House District 35 is based in northeastern Wake County. It encompasses the towns of Zebulon, Wendell, part of Knightdale, and Wake Forest. Even a decade ago this was a very rural part of the county,...