A Look Back at the State House Races (Part 2)

by John Wynne | Nov 17, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA | 1 comment

This is a look back at the results of the North Carolina State House races. The first part is here. House District 46: Waddell (D, incumbent) vs. Jones (R) PoliticsNC rating: Likely Democratic Final result: D+7 Republican Jones ran a good campaign here, criticizing...

A Look Back at the State House Races (Part 1)

by John Wynne | Nov 12, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA | 2 comments

Democrats had a bad night in the State Senate last week. They fared a little better in the House, though, but Republicans maintained their veto-proof majority there as well, despite losing four seats. Let me remind you that the goal of Democrats was to eliminate those...

How NC Dems Can Lose Again in 2016

by John Wynne | Nov 6, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Democrats, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGA, US Senate | 8 comments

I don’t think it’s exaggerating things to say that the 2014 elections in North Carolina were an unmitigated disaster for Democrats. True, there were a few bright spots: they swept the Wake County Board of Commissioners races, gained a few seats in the...

Legislative Races to Watch Tonight

by John Wynne | Nov 4, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGA | 9 comments

We’ve come to the end of our District Geography series. Below is an overview on races to watch tonight. There are actually a number of competitive seats for the General Assembly this cycle. If Republicans have a bad night, then they’ll watch their...

HD-118: Democrats Hope Party’s Over for Tea Party’s Presnell

by John Wynne | Nov 4, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA

House District 118: Rep. Michelle Presnell (R) vs. Commissioner Dean Hicks (D) And so we come to our last installment of the District Geography series for the 2014 election cycle. Once again, it’s a Republican who is vulnerable. Rep. Michelle Presnell is a...

Weird, Nasty, and Expensive: the Moffitt/Turner Race in HD-116

by John Wynne | Nov 3, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, Polling | 5 comments

House District 116: Rep. Tim Moffitt (R) vs. Brian Turner (D) The 116th District features one of the costliest and nastiest contests of the entire cycle. The district itself is based in rural-suburban Western Buncombe County, just outside Asheville. The current...