Tightening

by John Wynne | Oct 9, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 2 comments

Yesterday, Team Tillis got what they haven’t had in almost a month now: good news. In fact, yesterday was a very good day for the Tillis camp. Requests for absentee ballots are showing Republicans turning the tide. The Supreme Court also issued a stay in the...

Blue Dogs Control Outcome in HD-46

by John Wynne | Oct 2, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP | 1 comment

House District 46: Rep. Ken Waddell (D) vs. Brenden Jones (R) Of the ‘Blue Dog’ districts in NC, this one is probably the Blue Doggiest. It consists of all of Columbus County, the Republican-friendly eastern slice of Robeson County, and a small southwest...

HD-40: Avila’s Advantage

by John Wynne | Sep 26, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP | 2 comments

North Carolina House District 40: Rep. Marilyn Avila (R) vs. Former Morrisville Town Councilwoman Margaret Broadwell (D) The state’s 40th House District takes in much of northwestern Wake County, extending from the Granville County line down to the town of...

HD-36: Rep. Dollar Probably Safe

by John Wynne | Sep 22, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP | 5 comments

House District 36 – Rep. Nelson Dollar (R) vs. Lisa Baker (D) House District 36 includes part of Cary, the community of Swift Creek, parts of Fuquay-Varina, and parts of unincorporated Southern Wake County. It is currently represented by Nelson Dollar, who was...

Burr: I’m Running Again

by John Wynne | Sep 17, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Democrats, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP, US Senate | 5 comments

I’ve speculated in the past that Richard Burr is very likely to retire in 2016. Not only are there rumors that Burr is tired of life in the Senate, several of his friends are leaving also and it might be getting kind of lonely up there. Burr’s very anemic...

HD-35: Malone in the Driver’s Seat

by John Wynne | Sep 11, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP

House District 35: Rep. Chris Malone (R) vs. Brian Mountcastle (D) House District 35 is based in northeastern Wake County. It encompasses the towns of Zebulon, Wendell, part of Knightdale, and Wake Forest. Even a decade ago this was a very rural part of the county,...