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HD-51: Fracking Pushing Salmon Upstream

HD-51: Fracking Pushing Salmon Upstream

by John Wynne | Oct 13, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Environment, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP, Poll Analysis, Polling | 2 comments

House District 51: Rep. Mike Stone (R) vs. Brad Salmon (D) HD-51, which takes in parts of Harnett and Lee counties, is a district where local circumstances could prove decisive. It’s the one area of the state where it looks like hydraulic fracturing, or...
Tightening

Tightening

by John Wynne | Oct 9, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 2 comments

Yesterday, Team Tillis got what they haven’t had in almost a month now: good news. In fact, yesterday was a very good day for the Tillis camp. Requests for absentee ballots are showing Republicans turning the tide. The Supreme Court also issued a stay in the...
In GOP-Leaning HD-49, Biggest Issue is Public Education

In GOP-Leaning HD-49, Biggest Issue is Public Education

by John Wynne | Oct 7, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling

House District 49: Rep. Gary Pendleton (R) vs. Kim Hanchette (D) This is an affluent, heavily white, very educated district which takes in some of Raleigh’s wealthiest neighborhoods inside the Beltline along with a part of North Raleigh. It’s yet another...
Civitas Polls, and a Democratic Wave?

Civitas Polls, and a Democratic Wave?

by John Wynne | Oct 6, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling | 5 comments

Could there be a Democratic wave in NC this year? Possibly. The Civitas polls of the legislative races certainly support such a theory. Rep. Mike Stone and Rep. Michele Presnell are both down 12 points in districts that Mitt Romney carried by double digits. In the...
Blue Dogs Control Outcome in HD-46

Blue Dogs Control Outcome in HD-46

by John Wynne | Oct 2, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP | 1 comment

House District 46: Rep. Ken Waddell (D) vs. Brenden Jones (R) Of the ‘Blue Dog’ districts in NC, this one is probably the Blue Doggiest. It consists of all of Columbus County, the Republican-friendly eastern slice of Robeson County, and a small southwest...
Glazier Should Be Safe in Democratic-Leaning HD-44

Glazier Should Be Safe in Democratic-Leaning HD-44

by John Wynne | Sep 30, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA

House District 44: Rep. Rick Glazier (D) vs. Richard Button (R) The state’s 44th House District is located in Cumberland County. Of the Fayetteville-based districts, this is the most Republican, and contains the most affluent neighborhoods. But it’s still...
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