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The two sides of the jobs report and mismanaging expectations

The two sides of the jobs report and mismanaging expectations

by Thomas Mills | May 3, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Economy, Editor's Blog, NC Politics

The jobs report is out again. This time, April growth exceeded expectations. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 288,000 new jobs were created and the unemployment rate dropped to 6.3% from 6.7%.  So what was the response? As Politico notes, Democrats were...
#NCSEN trends on social media (May edition)

#NCSEN trends on social media (May edition)

by John Wynne | May 2, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Campaigns, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP, Politics, Social Media Rankings, US Senate | 8 comments

It’s a slow-news Friday, so why not take one last look at social media rankings before the May primary? Maybe they can’t tell us who’s going to win next Tuesday, but they might be able to tell us who has the momentum in the final days. As always, the...
My first Hagan ad

My first Hagan ad

by Thomas Mills | May 2, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, US Senate | 10 comments

The Elon University poll came out this week. North Carolina voters are an ornery bunch right now. They don’t like much of anything. In particular, though, they don’t like Kay Hagan. Her approval rating is upside down at 35-47. According to most public polls, it’s been...
Tillis, in superlatives

Tillis, in superlatives

by Alexander H. Jones | May 1, 2014 | 2014 Elections, NC Politics, US Senate

You have to hand it to Paul Stam, the fellow is blunt. And for once, he’s even right. In endorsing Tillis, he said “those who attack him for lack of conservative credentials are disconnected from reality.” Indeed they are. Stam should know. This man has long been...
Feel their pain first

Feel their pain first

by Thomas Mills | May 1, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, National Politics, Polling | 2 comments

I have a bias about campaigns. I don’t believe that people usually vote around issues. I think they vote on an emotional response to things that are less tangible. Rarely does a candidate’s position on a single issue or even group of issues persuade the electorate....
SD-01: Swing District in the Outer Banks

SD-01: Swing District in the Outer Banks

by John Wynne | Apr 30, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Demographic Trends, Features, NC Political Geography, NC Senate Races

North Carolina State Senate District 1 – Bill Cook (R) The 1st district was the site of the closest legislative election in the entire state, and one of the closest elections in the entire nation. After a recount, State Rep. Bill Cook prevailed over the...
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