by Thomas Mills | Aug 18, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Ads, Editor's Blog, NC Politics, US Senate |
Last week, the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee reserved $9 million in TV to support Kay Hagan. Immediately, Republicans started saying that Democrats had hit the panic button and the buy showed that Hagan was in real trouble. Hagan’s been in real trouble since...
by John Wynne | Aug 13, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NC Senate Races
The initial analysis of the competitive NC Senate districts this year is now complete. But wait, wasn’t the latest entry in the series Senate District 25? Aren’t there 25 more districts left? Well, yes, but none of them appear to be competitive. As you get...
by John Wynne | Aug 12, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Polling, US Senate |
Two weeks ago, Tillis campaign spokesman Daniel Keylin said he wasn’t worried about his candidate trailing in the polls. Why? Because, he explained, “Senate campaigns in North Carolina almost always break late.” This isn’t just campaign spin....
by John Wynne | Aug 11, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGOP, Polling
Senate District 15 – Johnny Mac Alexander (R) vs. Tom Bradshaw (D) This has been a race to watch ever since the present occupant of this seat, Neal Hunt, announced that he was going to retire. Since then, this race has seen many twists and turns. Republicans had...
by Thomas Mills | Aug 11, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Editor's Blog, NC Politics, US Senate |
With the legislature finally gone home, the US Senate race is going to take center stage in North Carolina. Democrats will continue trying to link Tillis to the legislature and Republicans will amp up their efforts to make Hagan a surrogate for Obama. This election is...
by John Wynne | Aug 8, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
The new Rasmussen poll released yesterday shows Tillis ahead by 5 points, 45%-40%. Haugh was not named, but 6% of voters said they would support another candidate, so that seems valid. This is Rasmussen’s first poll since May, which showed Tillis up by 1. As...