by John Wynne | Oct 6, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling |
Could there be a Democratic wave in NC this year? Possibly. The Civitas polls of the legislative races certainly support such a theory. Rep. Mike Stone and Rep. Michele Presnell are both down 12 points in districts that Mitt Romney carried by double digits. In the...
by Thomas Mills | Oct 6, 2014 | 2014 Elections, US Senate
Another round of polls came in over the weekend showing Thom Tillis still trailing Kay Hagan. The New York Times/CBS News/YouGov poll has Hagan leading by one point after trailing by one a month ago. The NBC/Marist poll has her up four. For Tillis to win, the...
by Alexander H. Jones | Oct 5, 2014 | 2014 Elections, US Senate |
The politics of personality inspires interest in two things, role models and “true beliefs.” Is Obama JFK or Jimmy Carter? Does Romney really believe that extreme rhetoric? Thom Tillis has been described as Mitt Romney, and many people think that like Romney the...
by Michael Bitzer | Oct 3, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Bitzer, Features
Originally posted at Dr. Michael Bitzer’s blog, Old North State Politics. Dr. Bitzer is a professor of politics and history at Catawba College. He’s a frequent analyst and commentator on news and public affairs programs because of understanding and knowledge of...
by John Wynne | Oct 3, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
Some thoughts on the Senate race to close out the week: The RCP average right now in the three-way race: 43.8% Hagan, 40.0% Tillis, 5.6% Haugh. If Tillis wins two-thirds of undecided voters, and Haugh keeps his 5.6%, then this becomes a tie race. If Haugh takes only...
by Thomas Mills | Oct 3, 2014 | 2014 Elections, US Senate |
Thom Tillis is having difficulty connecting with his base. His problems are really the same problems that plagued GOP candidates for governor throughout the 1990s and 2000s. The Republican base is much more conservative than the state as a whole. But Tillis also faces...
