by John Wynne | Feb 5, 2015 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Congressional Races, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, NCGA |
Redistricting has been in the news lately. Why? I don’t know; it’s not required for states to change their district lines until after the 2020 census. It’s probably because Democrats want to have a redistricting commission in place by then, which...
by John Wynne | Feb 4, 2015 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
PPP released their first 2015 poll of NC yesterday. They asked about the governor’s race and also the Senate race. Both McCrory and Burr post mediocre approval ratings but PPP notes that if 2016 turns out to be a Republican year or even a neutral year, both will...
by John Wynne | Feb 3, 2015 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Demographic Trends, Features |
The map you see to the left depicts the partisan breakdown of new voters by county. Unaffiliated voters constituted the greatest number of new voters in 74 of 100 counties, colored purple on the map. In five counties, Republicans outnumbered everyone else. And in 21...
by John Wynne | Jan 30, 2015 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP |
Rep. Julia Howard (R-Davie) is an institution in Raleigh. A force of nature who does not always toe the party line, she’s been in office for 26 years. And she’s also the winner of this week’s highly coveted “Worst Week in Raleigh” award,...
by John Wynne | Jan 29, 2015 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Congressional Races, Demographic Trends, Features, National Politics, NCGA, NCGOP, US House |
Barring some kind of cataclysm that results in a severe reduction in the state’s population, North Carolina is on track to get another congressional district following the 2020 census. We fell just short of getting a 14th district following the 2010 census, ten...
by John Wynne | Jan 28, 2015 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Congressional Races, Features, NCGOP, US House |
The number that is Renee Ellmers’ favorite is also the number that keeps insurgent conservatives up at night. That number is 40. Ellmers will surely receive a primary challenge this cycle, and it will be a candidate of higher caliber than Frank Roche, whose...
