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Where Sanders Can Win

Where Sanders Can Win

by John Wynne | Mar 15, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, Presidential race | 2 comments

The polls have Bernie Sanders trailing in North Carolina. Here are the numbers: PPP: Clinton +19 SurveyUSA: Clinton +24 Civitas: Clinton +29 The average lead for Clinton is 24. In North Carolina, a “major win” for Hillary in terms of expectations would be...
The Polls Say Trump Wins NC Tomorrow Night

The Polls Say Trump Wins NC Tomorrow Night

by John Wynne | Mar 14, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP | 6 comments

If the polls are right, then North Carolina is looking like a Trump win tomorrow night. Here are the numbers: PPP: Trump +11 High Point: Trump +20 Civitas: Trump +6 SurveyUSA: Trump +14 That averages out to 12.75%. Because Trump is known to underperform his polling...
SurveyUSA Poll: Politicians, Bathrooms, and the Bond

SurveyUSA Poll: Politicians, Bathrooms, and the Bond

by John Wynne | Mar 9, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, Presidential race, US Senate | 1 comment

The new SurveyUSA poll confirms mostly what we already know. Here’s what they found: -Trump leads Cruz, 41%-27%. I think the margin will be closer than that. The stronger one identifies as a Republican, the less support for Trump. Trump is strongest in...
Can Cruz Win NC?

Can Cruz Win NC?

by John Wynne | Mar 7, 2016 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, Presidential race | 6 comments

Ted Cruz had a very good weekend. With the collapse of the Rubio campaign, the Texas senator is in a strong position to win a large share of the anti-Trump vote. That could put him in striking distance of winning North Carolina. Notably, there have been no recent...
The “Tie-to-Trump” Strategy

The “Tie-to-Trump” Strategy

by John Wynne | Mar 3, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Presidential race, US Senate | 6 comments

Both Pat McCrory and Richard Burr say they’ll support the eventual Republican nominee. At this point, there’s a good chance that will be Donald Trump, which has Democrats positively giddy. Trump, as well all know, is toxic in the general election and will...
The Presidential Primary Comes to North Carolina

The Presidential Primary Comes to North Carolina

by John Wynne | Mar 2, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP | 3 comments

The presidential primary is coming to North Carolina in less than two weeks and it actually looks like our vote will matter. We’ll be competing with other big states like Ohio and Florida for candidates’ attention, but already we’re seeing some...
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