by John Wynne | May 9, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, Poll Analysis, US Senate |
Well, the first poll since the primary has come out, and it’s … pretty weird. The topline numbers are what you’d expect (Tillis leads by 1 point, obviously within the margin of error) but dig deeper and you find some things that question the validity...
by John Wynne | May 8, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Campaigns, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, Politics, US Senate |
Hagan = Obama; Can’t Win With Typical Campaign If Republicans want to beat Kay Hagan, they need to do two things: they need to nominate a somewhat decent candidate, and they need to turn Hagan into Obama. Whether Tillis meets the criteria for being a “decent”...
by John Wynne | May 7, 2014 | Campaigns, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, Politics
In this post, I’m going to look at a) what happened in these races, b) why it happened, and c) cap it off with how my predictions turned out. U.S. Senate Republican Primary – Everyone has already covered this: early on, Tillis suffered from low name...
by John Wynne | May 6, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Congressional Races, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP
First off, the most obvious thing to watch out for. 40%. Does Tillis clear it? The nomination, the control of the Senate, the fate of the country might hinge on the answer. With all the action on the Republican side, one might forget that Kay Hagan has her own primary...
by John Wynne | May 5, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Campaigns, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Politics, US House, US Senate |
Since tomorrow is primary day, I thought I would make a few brief predictions. Hopefully, I’ll get them all right, and people will be astonished at my amazing foresight. More likely, though, I’ll get a few of them wrong. Here goes: U.S. Senate – Republican Primary...
by John Wynne | May 2, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Campaigns, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP, Politics, Social Media Rankings, US Senate |
It’s a slow-news Friday, so why not take one last look at social media rankings before the May primary? Maybe they can’t tell us who’s going to win next Tuesday, but they might be able to tell us who has the momentum in the final days. As always, the...
