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Poll Alert! (Civitas-National Research)

Poll Alert! (Civitas-National Research)

by John Wynne | Oct 1, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 3 comments

The Civitas Institute released a new poll yesterday. A couple weeks ago, SurveyUSA conducted a poll for them which showed Hagan up 3 points. This time, Civitas employed the services of National Research, their traditional pollster. In this poll, Hagan leads by 5...
Glazier Should Be Safe in Democratic-Leaning HD-44

Glazier Should Be Safe in Democratic-Leaning HD-44

by John Wynne | Sep 30, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA

House District 44: Rep. Rick Glazier (D) vs. Richard Button (R) The state’s 44th House District is located in Cumberland County. Of the Fayetteville-based districts, this is the most Republican, and contains the most affluent neighborhoods. But it’s still...
Senate Race Still Too Close for Comfort

Senate Race Still Too Close for Comfort

by John Wynne | Sep 29, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate

It’s a bit early for Democrats to be popping the champagne. Tillis is still in the game and the U.S. Senate race here in North Carolina is far from being won. Yesterday, a CNN poll showed Hagan leading by 3 points, within the margin of error. Hagan is far below...
HD-40: Avila’s Advantage

HD-40: Avila’s Advantage

by John Wynne | Sep 26, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP | 2 comments

North Carolina House District 40: Rep. Marilyn Avila (R) vs. Former Morrisville Town Councilwoman Margaret Broadwell (D) The state’s 40th House District takes in much of northwestern Wake County, extending from the Granville County line down to the town of...
Social Media: Tillis Tops in Facebook ‘Likes’

Social Media: Tillis Tops in Facebook ‘Likes’

by John Wynne | Sep 25, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Social Media Rankings, US Senate | 4 comments

Yesterday, Dr. Michael Bitzer posted about the absentee ballots being cast in NC, where Democrats are looking unusually motivated. A less serious gauge of enthusiasm might be found through social media, in particular Facebook. On that medium, Tillis is way ahead in...
HD-41: Murry-Adcock Contest Among State’s Most Competitive

HD-41: Murry-Adcock Contest Among State’s Most Competitive

by John Wynne | Sep 24, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA

House District 41: Rep. Tom Murry (R) vs. Cary Town Councilwoman Gale Adcock (D) Independents are always key to winning elections in North Carolina, but that’s particularly true for House District 41, a strip of suburban Wake County on the Chatham County border...
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