by John Wynne | Oct 13, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Environment, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP, Poll Analysis, Polling |
House District 51: Rep. Mike Stone (R) vs. Brad Salmon (D) HD-51, which takes in parts of Harnett and Lee counties, is a district where local circumstances could prove decisive. It’s the one area of the state where it looks like hydraulic fracturing, or...
by John Wynne | Oct 9, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
Yesterday, Team Tillis got what they haven’t had in almost a month now: good news. In fact, yesterday was a very good day for the Tillis camp. Requests for absentee ballots are showing Republicans turning the tide. The Supreme Court also issued a stay in the...
by John Wynne | Oct 7, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling
House District 49: Rep. Gary Pendleton (R) vs. Kim Hanchette (D) This is an affluent, heavily white, very educated district which takes in some of Raleigh’s wealthiest neighborhoods inside the Beltline along with a part of North Raleigh. It’s yet another...
by John Wynne | Oct 6, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling |
Could there be a Democratic wave in NC this year? Possibly. The Civitas polls of the legislative races certainly support such a theory. Rep. Mike Stone and Rep. Michele Presnell are both down 12 points in districts that Mitt Romney carried by double digits. In the...
by John Wynne | Oct 3, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
Some thoughts on the Senate race to close out the week: The RCP average right now in the three-way race: 43.8% Hagan, 40.0% Tillis, 5.6% Haugh. If Tillis wins two-thirds of undecided voters, and Haugh keeps his 5.6%, then this becomes a tie race. If Haugh takes only...
by John Wynne | Oct 2, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP |
House District 46: Rep. Ken Waddell (D) vs. Brenden Jones (R) Of the ‘Blue Dog’ districts in NC, this one is probably the Blue Doggiest. It consists of all of Columbus County, the Republican-friendly eastern slice of Robeson County, and a small southwest...
