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A Look Back at the Congressional Races (Pt. 1)

A Look Back at the Congressional Races (Pt. 1)

by John Wynne | Dec 1, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Congressional Races, Features, NC Politics, US House | 2 comments

I wasn’t originally planning to do this one because none of the congressional races were particularly exciting affairs, but there are a few interesting things to note. For those who somehow missed what happened, or aren’t political junkies and just...
“I Like Mike” Robinson Falls Short in Recount

“I Like Mike” Robinson Falls Short in Recount

by John Wynne | Nov 25, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics | 10 comments

Mike Robinson has conceded to Justice Cheri Beasley in the one Supreme Court race that was still outstanding. The final margin was 0.22%. Although Election Night was pretty good to Republicans in North Carolina, the losses in these Supreme Court races have to hurt....
NC 2010 vs. NC 2014

NC 2010 vs. NC 2014

by John Wynne | Nov 24, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, US Senate | 2 comments

People seemed to enjoy the “visualized” post, so here’s one more. This is a map comparing the performance of Hagan 2014 vs. Marshall 2010. As an incumbent with the full support of the national party and tens of millions of dollars on her side, Hagan...
Why Hagan Lost, Visualized

Why Hagan Lost, Visualized

by John Wynne | Nov 20, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, US Senate | 15 comments

Below is a map of the change in margin between Obama/Romney 2012 and Hagan/Tillis 2014. The counties in red are where Tillis improved on Romney’s performance. Because Romney won NC, Tillis had a little more room for error than Hagan, who had to make up for...
If Burr Doesn’t Run, GOP Has Options

If Burr Doesn’t Run, GOP Has Options

by John Wynne | Nov 19, 2014 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP, US Senate | 12 comments

Richard Burr says he’s running again. Of course, lots of Representatives and Senators say they’re planning to run again and don’t end up doing so. Burr always has the option to change his mind. His fundraising hasn’t been stellar. With the GOP...
Polls: McCrory Either in Good Shape, or Highly Vulnerable

Polls: McCrory Either in Good Shape, or Highly Vulnerable

by John Wynne | Nov 18, 2014 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGov, Poll Analysis, Polling

The latest survey from High Point University was released yesterday. In their last poll of the Senate race, the university found Hagan and Tillis tied at 44%, which was more accurate than a lot of other public polling firms, so I’d put stock in whatever they...
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