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New Voters and a Purple State

New Voters and a Purple State

by John Wynne | Feb 3, 2015 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Demographic Trends, Features | 5 comments

The map you see to the left depicts the partisan breakdown of new voters by county. Unaffiliated voters constituted the greatest number of new voters in 74 of 100 counties, colored purple on the map. In five counties, Republicans outnumbered everyone else. And in 21...
Worst Week in Raleigh: Julia Howard

Worst Week in Raleigh: Julia Howard

by John Wynne | Jan 30, 2015 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP | 6 comments

Rep. Julia Howard (R-Davie) is an institution in Raleigh. A force of nature who does not always toe the party line, she’s been in office for 26 years. And she’s also the winner of this week’s highly coveted “Worst Week in Raleigh” award,...
In 2020, NC Gets Another Congressional District

In 2020, NC Gets Another Congressional District

by John Wynne | Jan 29, 2015 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Congressional Races, Demographic Trends, Features, National Politics, NCGA, NCGOP, US House | 4 comments

Barring some kind of cataclysm that results in a severe reduction in the state’s population, North Carolina is on track to get another congressional district following the 2020 census. We fell just short of getting a 14th district following the 2010 census, ten...
Renee Ellmers’ Favorite Number: 40

Renee Ellmers’ Favorite Number: 40

by John Wynne | Jan 28, 2015 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Congressional Races, Features, NCGOP, US House | 2 comments

The number that is Renee Ellmers’ favorite is also the number that keeps insurgent conservatives up at night. That number is 40. Ellmers will surely receive a primary challenge this cycle, and it will be a candidate of higher caliber than Frank Roche, whose...
The Burr Strategy

The Burr Strategy

by John Wynne | Jan 27, 2015 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, US Senate | 11 comments

Richard Burr’s Senate campaign strategy always consists of three elements. They are: 1. No controversy. Burr is not a “wacko bird” by any means. He’s seldom caught saying something stupid on camera. If he does make waves, it’s always...
What Happened in Buncombe?

What Happened in Buncombe?

by John Wynne | Jan 23, 2015 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Demographic Trends, Features, Moral Monday, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, US Senate | 23 comments

Buncombe County was one of the brightest spots for Democrats on Election Night, not just in North Carolina, but nationwide. In a year where few incumbent GOP legislators were defeated, Buncombe ousted both of its Republicans in the NC House delegation. In addition,...
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