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Lucky Number 13 for Cal Cunningham

Lucky Number 13 for Cal Cunningham

by John Wynne | Feb 23, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Democrats, Features, NC Politics, US House | 11 comments

The new 13th district, located in the western part of the state, is the most competitive of the ten “Republican” districts. But it’s still a seat with a distinct Republican advantage. Mitt Romney defeated Obama there by 7%. Thom Tillis beat Kay Hagan...
Out of the Frying Pan, into the Fire

Out of the Frying Pan, into the Fire

by John Wynne | Feb 22, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Congressional Races, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, US House | 1 comment

Assuming the district lines don’t change again (which could be a big assumption), the title of this post aptly describes Renee Ellmers’ situation. Already embroiled in a heated contest for renomination, Ellmers now finds herself in a dramatically...
A Kinder, Gentler Gerrymander

A Kinder, Gentler Gerrymander

by John Wynne | Feb 18, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, US House | 10 comments

So the new map is out. Democrats are flustered because the new map is so beautiful. In the Redistricting Committee meeting yesterday afternoon, Sen. Dan Blue’s prepared talking points clearly anticipated an ugly monstrosity of a map when he said that...
Tighter Primaries on Both Sides

Tighter Primaries on Both Sides

by John Wynne | Feb 17, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics | 4 comments

In the latest North Carolina poll, Public Policy Polling finds both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on the decline in their respective primaries. In Clinton’s case, it’s no doubt due to the momentum of Bernie Sanders after strong showings in the Iowa and...
RIP NC-12?

RIP NC-12?

by John Wynne | Feb 16, 2016 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NC-08, NCGOP | 22 comments

Farewell, NC-12. Yes, we’re still going to have a twelfth congressional district. But it won’t be the same. It’s likely that the snake-like, I-85 shaped district we’ve all come to know and love is on its way out, probably for good. This is of...
Trump and W

Trump and W

by John Wynne | Feb 15, 2016 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics | 3 comments

Imagine a Republican candidate for President, on a debate stage, a week before the South Carolina primary, saying the following: *Planned Parenthood does wonderful things *The World Trade Center came down under George W. Bush’s watch *George W. Bush had a chance...
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