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Ellmers Endorses Trump!

Ellmers Endorses Trump!

by John Wynne | Mar 17, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, Presidential race, US House | 6 comments

The Donald has drawn another congressional endorsement, this time from North Carolina’s own Rep. Renee Ellmers. Say what? Yes, the Renee Ellmers who sparred with Laura Ingraham over immigration and who is close to the House leadership, is now endorsing Donald...
Election Night Recap

Election Night Recap

by John Wynne | Mar 16, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NC Senate Races | 3 comments

What happened? Here’s a quick summary of what I think are the main highlights of last night. Let’s get right to it: A narrow victory for Trump. The polls showed a big Trump win but I was always skeptical given his habit of underperforming his poll numbers...
Where Sanders Can Win

Where Sanders Can Win

by John Wynne | Mar 15, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, Presidential race | 2 comments

The polls have Bernie Sanders trailing in North Carolina. Here are the numbers: PPP: Clinton +19 SurveyUSA: Clinton +24 Civitas: Clinton +29 The average lead for Clinton is 24. In North Carolina, a “major win” for Hillary in terms of expectations would be...
The Polls Say Trump Wins NC Tomorrow Night

The Polls Say Trump Wins NC Tomorrow Night

by John Wynne | Mar 14, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP | 6 comments

If the polls are right, then North Carolina is looking like a Trump win tomorrow night. Here are the numbers: PPP: Trump +11 High Point: Trump +20 Civitas: Trump +6 SurveyUSA: Trump +14 That averages out to 12.75%. Because Trump is known to underperform his polling...
SurveyUSA Poll: Politicians, Bathrooms, and the Bond

SurveyUSA Poll: Politicians, Bathrooms, and the Bond

by John Wynne | Mar 9, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, Presidential race, US Senate | 1 comment

The new SurveyUSA poll confirms mostly what we already know. Here’s what they found: -Trump leads Cruz, 41%-27%. I think the margin will be closer than that. The stronger one identifies as a Republican, the less support for Trump. Trump is strongest in...
Can Cruz Win NC?

Can Cruz Win NC?

by John Wynne | Mar 7, 2016 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, Presidential race | 6 comments

Ted Cruz had a very good weekend. With the collapse of the Rubio campaign, the Texas senator is in a strong position to win a large share of the anti-Trump vote. That could put him in striking distance of winning North Carolina. Notably, there have been no recent...
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