by John Wynne | Oct 6, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGA, Poll Analysis, Polling |
Could there be a Democratic wave in NC this year? Possibly. The Civitas polls of the legislative races certainly support such a theory. Rep. Mike Stone and Rep. Michele Presnell are both down 12 points in districts that Mitt Romney carried by double digits. In the...
by John Wynne | Oct 3, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
Some thoughts on the Senate race to close out the week: The RCP average right now in the three-way race: 43.8% Hagan, 40.0% Tillis, 5.6% Haugh. If Tillis wins two-thirds of undecided voters, and Haugh keeps his 5.6%, then this becomes a tie race. If Haugh takes only...
by John Wynne | Oct 2, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP |
House District 46: Rep. Ken Waddell (D) vs. Brenden Jones (R) Of the ‘Blue Dog’ districts in NC, this one is probably the Blue Doggiest. It consists of all of Columbus County, the Republican-friendly eastern slice of Robeson County, and a small southwest...
by John Wynne | Oct 1, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
The Civitas Institute released a new poll yesterday. A couple weeks ago, SurveyUSA conducted a poll for them which showed Hagan up 3 points. This time, Civitas employed the services of National Research, their traditional pollster. In this poll, Hagan leads by 5...
by John Wynne | Sep 30, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGA
House District 44: Rep. Rick Glazier (D) vs. Richard Button (R) The state’s 44th House District is located in Cumberland County. Of the Fayetteville-based districts, this is the most Republican, and contains the most affluent neighborhoods. But it’s still...
