by John Wynne | Mar 16, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NC Senate Races |
What happened? Here’s a quick summary of what I think are the main highlights of last night. Let’s get right to it: A narrow victory for Trump. The polls showed a big Trump win but I was always skeptical given his habit of underperforming his poll numbers...
by John Wynne | Mar 15, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, Presidential race |
The polls have Bernie Sanders trailing in North Carolina. Here are the numbers: PPP: Clinton +19 SurveyUSA: Clinton +24 Civitas: Clinton +29 The average lead for Clinton is 24. In North Carolina, a “major win” for Hillary in terms of expectations would be...
by John Wynne | Mar 14, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP |
If the polls are right, then North Carolina is looking like a Trump win tomorrow night. Here are the numbers: PPP: Trump +11 High Point: Trump +20 Civitas: Trump +6 SurveyUSA: Trump +14 That averages out to 12.75%. Because Trump is known to underperform his polling...
by John Wynne | Mar 9, 2016 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, Presidential race, US Senate |
The new SurveyUSA poll confirms mostly what we already know. Here’s what they found: -Trump leads Cruz, 41%-27%. I think the margin will be closer than that. The stronger one identifies as a Republican, the less support for Trump. Trump is strongest in...
by John Wynne | Mar 7, 2016 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, Presidential race |
Ted Cruz had a very good weekend. With the collapse of the Rubio campaign, the Texas senator is in a strong position to win a large share of the anti-Trump vote. That could put him in striking distance of winning North Carolina. Notably, there have been no recent...
