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The Polls Weren’t Wrong. The Pundits Were.

The Polls Weren’t Wrong. The Pundits Were.

by John Wynne | Nov 11, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, US Senate | 4 comments

Those who cover politics are scrambling to figure out why the polls were so off this year. Nobody saw it coming, they say. Maybe polling is no longer a reliable practice – we might be able to get the numbers in the right ballpark, but until Election Day...
The State Senate Races: A Look Back

The State Senate Races: A Look Back

by John Wynne | Nov 10, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Democrats, Features, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGA, NCGOP | 6 comments

Overall, Republicans did very well on Election Night when it came to the General Assembly races, especially in the State Senate, where they actually managed to pick up a seat. Yes, they lost a few in the House, and we’ll cover those later, but they maintained...
Why Hagan 2016 Isn’t Going to Happen

Why Hagan 2016 Isn’t Going to Happen

by John Wynne | Nov 7, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Democrats, Features, NC Politics, US Senate | 8 comments

First, let’s hear Hagan’s (and No No Cat’s) official response to rumors that she’s going to mount a comeback bid in 2016: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cl5z3jy8ixE On a serious note, I first got wind of this talk on Twitter on Election Night,...
How NC Dems Can Lose Again in 2016

How NC Dems Can Lose Again in 2016

by John Wynne | Nov 6, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Democrats, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGA, US Senate | 8 comments

I don’t think it’s exaggerating things to say that the 2014 elections in North Carolina were an unmitigated disaster for Democrats. True, there were a few bright spots: they swept the Wake County Board of Commissioners races, gained a few seats in the...
The Story of 2014

The Story of 2014

by John Wynne | Nov 5, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, US Senate | 8 comments

Looking at the numbers, you could see why Kay Hagan was one of the most vulnerable incumbents at the beginning of the year. While NC is a purple state, Romney carried it by 2 points in what was a pretty good year for Democrats. Once you factor in Democrats dropping...
Legislative Races to Watch Tonight

Legislative Races to Watch Tonight

by John Wynne | Nov 4, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGA | 9 comments

We’ve come to the end of our District Geography series. Below is an overview on races to watch tonight. There are actually a number of competitive seats for the General Assembly this cycle. If Republicans have a bad night, then they’ll watch their...
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