by John Wynne | Nov 20, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, US Senate |
Below is a map of the change in margin between Obama/Romney 2012 and Hagan/Tillis 2014. The counties in red are where Tillis improved on Romney’s performance. Because Romney won NC, Tillis had a little more room for error than Hagan, who had to make up for...
by John Wynne | Nov 19, 2014 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGOP, US Senate |
Richard Burr says he’s running again. Of course, lots of Representatives and Senators say they’re planning to run again and don’t end up doing so. Burr always has the option to change his mind. His fundraising hasn’t been stellar. With the GOP...
by John Wynne | Nov 18, 2014 | 2016 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NCGov, Poll Analysis, Polling
The latest survey from High Point University was released yesterday. In their last poll of the Senate race, the university found Hagan and Tillis tied at 44%, which was more accurate than a lot of other public polling firms, so I’d put stock in whatever they...
by John Wynne | Nov 17, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA |
This is a look back at the results of the North Carolina State House races. The first part is here. House District 46: Waddell (D, incumbent) vs. Jones (R) PoliticsNC rating: Likely Democratic Final result: D+7 Republican Jones ran a good campaign here, criticizing...
by John Wynne | Nov 13, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Democrats, Features, National Politics, NC Politics, NCGOP, NCGov, US Senate |
There are two narratives going around about the standing of Senator Richard Burr in 2016. The first is that Democrats don’t really have a top-tier candidate and in the absence of one Burr will coast to reelection. That’s not quite right. But it’s...
by John Wynne | Nov 12, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA |
Democrats had a bad night in the State Senate last week. They fared a little better in the House, though, but Republicans maintained their veto-proof majority there as well, despite losing four seats. Let me remind you that the goal of Democrats was to eliminate those...
