by John Wynne | Aug 14, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Demographic Trends, Features |
According to voter registration records, Democrats and Republicans are both losing ground in North Carolina, and unaffiliated voters are on the rise. But growing even faster than voters not affiliated with either party are those who choose to register as Libertarians....
by John Wynne | Aug 13, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NC Senate Races
The initial analysis of the competitive NC Senate districts this year is now complete. But wait, wasn’t the latest entry in the series Senate District 25? Aren’t there 25 more districts left? Well, yes, but none of them appear to be competitive. As you get...
by John Wynne | Aug 12, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Polling, US Senate |
Two weeks ago, Tillis campaign spokesman Daniel Keylin said he wasn’t worried about his candidate trailing in the polls. Why? Because, he explained, “Senate campaigns in North Carolina almost always break late.” This isn’t just campaign spin....
by John Wynne | Aug 11, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NC Senate Races, NCGOP, Polling
Senate District 15 – Johnny Mac Alexander (R) vs. Tom Bradshaw (D) This has been a race to watch ever since the present occupant of this seat, Neal Hunt, announced that he was going to retire. Since then, this race has seen many twists and turns. Republicans had...
by John Wynne | Aug 8, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate |
The new Rasmussen poll released yesterday shows Tillis ahead by 5 points, 45%-40%. Haugh was not named, but 6% of voters said they would support another candidate, so that seems valid. This is Rasmussen’s first poll since May, which showed Tillis up by 1. As...
by John Wynne | Aug 7, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC Politics, NC Senate Races |
Senate District 25 – Sen. Gene McLaurin (D) vs. Tom McInnis (R) Senate District 25 is a rural district located in the southern Piedmont, bordering South Carolina. Shape-wise, this district isn’t too bad, but make no mistake, it’s drawn to favor...
