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Two New Polls Suggest Hagan Lead

Two New Polls Suggest Hagan Lead

by John Wynne | Sep 12, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 2 comments

The latest poll from Rasmussen Reports is not good, to say the least, for Thom Tillis. When I saw the results, I was sure the numbers had been switched. But nope: Kay Hagan leads Thom Tillis by 6%. It’s an 11-point swing from their last poll, conducted last...
HD-35: Malone in the Driver’s Seat

HD-35: Malone in the Driver’s Seat

by John Wynne | Sep 11, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, NC House Races, NC Politics, NCGA, NCGOP

House District 35: Rep. Chris Malone (R) vs. Brian Mountcastle (D) House District 35 is based in northeastern Wake County. It encompasses the towns of Zebulon, Wendell, part of Knightdale, and Wake Forest. Even a decade ago this was a very rural part of the county,...
Spotlight on Wake County

Spotlight on Wake County

by John Wynne | Sep 10, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Congressional Races, Features, NC House Races, NC Senate Races, NCGA, Polling, US Senate

Some of the hottest political races of this cycle are happening in Wake County. Wake just passed 1,000,000 residents, so it’s no surprise that this county is going to be seeing a lot of action, both now and in the future. Both parties are going to be heavily...
POS Poll from Team Tillis Shows a Tie

POS Poll from Team Tillis Shows a Tie

by John Wynne | Sep 9, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Debates, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 4 comments

Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies (POS) is the official pollster for the Tillis campaign. Yesterday, he released an internal poll which showed the two candidates tied with 43% each and Haugh taking 8% of the vote (the YouGov poll from Sunday showed Haugh taking...
Bill Clinton Coming to Help Kay Hagan

Bill Clinton Coming to Help Kay Hagan

by John Wynne | Sep 9, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, National Politics, US Senate | 5 comments

“Mr. Clinton better watch out if he comes down here. He better have a bodyguard.” Jesse Helms said that to a News & Observer reporter back in 1995. Even though North Carolina wasn’t as rabidly anti-Clinton as Helms was, this was never a friendly...
Poll Alert! (CBS-NYT-YouGov)

Poll Alert! (CBS-NYT-YouGov)

by John Wynne | Sep 8, 2014 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features, Poll Analysis, Polling, US Senate | 3 comments

The latest Internet-based poll from YouGov shows Thom Tillis leading Kay Hagan by a point in the U.S. Senate race. It confirms what we already know: the race is extremely tight and in all likelihood we will not know the winner until very late on Election Night,...
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